Showing posts with label investment. Show all posts
Showing posts with label investment. Show all posts

Tuesday, September 6, 2016

3 Situations Where It Pays to Buy a Fixer-Upper


It’s every home buyer’s worst nightmare: Finding a house within striking distance — of your price range and work— that quickly turns into a money pit.

On the flip side of the fixer-upper experience is someone like Jordan Brannon, a director of digital strategy in Spanaway, WA, near Tacoma. Although he’s sunk considerable money into his two-story, late-1990s home, he feels it was a good investment.

“It was about finding a home that we could add value to — and could purchase at a below-market rate,” he says of his 3,000-square-foot home. But there was one crucial caveat: “The fixer-upper work that we wanted to do, we had to be able to do.”

While that fixer-upper you’ve got your eye on may not be the steal you’re expecting — the average fixer-upper lists for just eight percent less than market value, according to a new analysis from Zillow Digs — it’s still a tempting prospect for many buyers.

Should you make a fixer-upper your next home? Here are three scenarios where the answer may be “Yes!”

When the upgrades are simple

Knowing that hiring contractors was out of the question — in part because Brannon works from home — Brannon and his wife focused on finding a home they could revamp themselves.

This meant forgoing homes with any foundation, electrical, or plumbing issues, and eyeing properties where cosmetic upgrades were the name of the game.

This isn’t to say the couple didn’t put in a lot of hard work; the project took nearly three months.

“We basically gutted the first floor down to drywall — did a full repaint, with all new trim; replaced the kitchen cabinets and countertops, and added new light fixtures and door handles,” Brannon says. New toilets and sinks are recent installments.

“The home looks 10 years younger, and feels cleaner and brighter,” Brannon remarks. “We’re more comfortable living in it, and I’m confident we’ve made an improvement in the home’s resale value.”

Combined estimates from contractors put the value of the improvements around $55,000, minus one bathroom. Altogether, Brannon says the couple spent about $15,000 on the work, plus 240 hours in labor (yes, he’s been tracking). For Brannon, it was a worthwhile endeavor.

When the numbers add up

“Fixer uppers [only] make sense as long as the numbers pencil out,” says George Vanderploeg, a luxury real estate broker with Douglas Elliman in New York. In other words, “Is the money that I have to put into it going to make the property worth at least that much when I do it?”

In general, people will price a property based on what others sell for, Vanderploeg explains. “If I were just to pick a block in Manhattan, say on 63rd Street, between Lexington and Third Avenue, the renovated townhouses there might sell for $3,000 per square foot,” he continues. “An un-renovated townhouse might sell for maybe $2,000 per square foot. If you have the money to put in, it may all work out.”

Of course, for many home buyers, especially those without a big — or any— renovations budget, this is easier said than done.

When the timing is right

Every municipality has a building code, says Vanderploeg, and the work that you do on the home must fall within legal bounds. “An architect usually will supervise the work, and then at the end of the process, they’ll sign off on it,” he says. However, this can be time-consuming.

You can also run into hurdles if your contractor falls behind schedule, has trouble staying on budget, or is just unreliable. “Where people go wrong sometimes is having a bad contractor,” says Vanderploeg.

If you’re unable to live in the home or get stuck waiting for permits, you could also find yourself in a bind. “Sometimes we have to find people a place to live for six months to a year while they’re waiting for something to be finished,” Vanderploeg adds.

For these reasons alone, homeowners need to be clear-eyed about the renovation process.

Remember, committing to upgrade a fixer-upper is more than a labor of love — it requires a time and financial commitment. But if you’re willing to go all in, think about the bragging rights!

Source: Zillow Porchlight, Jill Krasny
http://www.zillow.com/blog/when-to-buy-a-fixer-upper-203311/

Friday, May 20, 2016

How to Begin Investing in Real Estate


The housing market is well on the mend, with prices steadily rising in much of the country. It may be a good time, then, to think about adding real estate to an investing portfolio.

True believers say there's nothing like owning a second, third or fourth property. Of course, true believers tend to be those who survived catastrophes like the housing meltdown about a decade ago. Ask those who were hammered and you get another view.

One thing is clear: for a beginner, real estate is a different game. The lessons you learned with stocks, bonds and mutual funds aren't much of a guide.

"The biggest thing someone should understand is that a real estate investment is more than an investment when compared to stocks and bonds. It should be viewed as a business," says Donovan Ryckis, financial advisor at J Donovan Financial in Florida. "It will require time, management and due diligence above and beyond most investments."

While that can be daunting, it has its upside, says Eric Workman, senior vice president of marketing at Chicago-based Renovo Financial, a lender to real estate investors. Unlike with stocks, you're not casting your lot with executives you've never met.

"As an investor, you have complete control over all of the decisions related to the property – level of finish, items replaced and or repaired, standards of tenant quality, rentals rates, etc.," Workman says.

Over the past year, single-family home prices have grown by 5.3 percent, while the stock market has been nearly flat, according to the Case-Shiller index of home prices. Studies have shown that, nationwide, homes appreciate at just over the inflation rate for the long term, and that stocks do better. But nationwide averages don't mean much to the investor looking for a property in one local market.

Also, most real estate investors hope to earn income from rents as well as profit from appreciation.

"Prices have risen for the past seven-plus years, and part of what has driven that growth is the (low) cost and availability of debt and equity," says David Becker, managing director of the equity division at Time Equities, a New York City-based real estate firm. "Interest rates remain at all-time lows, which is fueling certain asset classes like multi-family (buildings)."

Among real estate's appeals: it often marches to a different drummer. If your stocks are down, perhaps your real estate will be up. That's not always true, as homes and stocks plunged in tandem in the financial crisis, but it's true often enough for many advocates.

Real estate prices tend to be less volatile than stock prices, because homes, stores and offices cannot be bought and sold with the click of a mouse.

Because real estate can be used as collateral, it's cheaper to borrow to pay for real estate than for many other investments. And if you borrow, say, 80 percent of the purchase price, selling for 10 percent more than your purchase price means a 50 percent gain.

Buying a vacation property has an added bonus: using it yourself.

Still, there are drawbacks. That same leverage that turned a 20 percent down payment into a 50 percent gain can quickly turn into a loss if the market sours. The stability that looks so appealing when you buy can turn into a nightmare if you cannot quickly attract a buyer when you want to sell.

And the benefit of a small down payment may be offset by mortgage interest payments, taxes, and insurance and upkeep costs, while carrying costs are little or nothing for stocks, bonds and funds. The vacation "benefit" can get stale if you feel it's a waste of money to go somewhere else. On top of all that are the headaches of dealing with renters.

"Unforeseen events are always a risk when it comes to real estate investing," Becker says.

If interest rates rise, for example, prospective buyers won't have as much to spend, undercutting property values. "I do not see interest rates rising overnight, but a market can quickly be turned sideways by a major negative event," Becker says.

With those warnings in hand, here are a few options for a real estate investment.

Buy a vacation home. You get to use it yourself while hoping to make some money. Though rental income may not cover all your costs, especially at the beginning, you may profit from appreciation over the years.

"I would advise to start with vacation property rather than a fixer-upper," says Peter Anadranistakis, president of Caliber, The Wealth Development Company, in Scottsdale, Arizona. "Get a property in a dense neighborhood, close to cafes, museums, restaurants, attractions and public transportation."

[See: 8 Stocks to Buy For a Starter Portfolio.]

In addition to the costs mentioned above, you may have to pay a rental manager. In some markets, commissions gobble 25 percent of the rent. If the property is not near your main home, you'll probably have to pay a professional to deal with maintenance and repairs, even little things you would do yourself at home, such as squeaky hinges and blown light bulbs.

Vacation home markets can be especially volatile, with prices and rental income plunging in a weak economy when people shun luxuries.

Buy a full-time rental. Buying a home or condo for full-time renters means you are not limited to a vacation area like the beach, lake or mountains. You can get a property near where you live, cutting some of the maintenance costs. And you won't have to find a new renter every week or two, though you could lose plenty of sleep with a bad renter who's not going anywhere.

Flipping. Buying a home, fixing it up and quickly selling is reality-show staple, but most experts warn this is a risky way to get started in real estate. It takes a lot of knowledge, time and tolerance for setbacks, and it's very hard to make money without contributing sweat equity. If you're not handy and don't enjoy construction work, stay away.

"It is becoming harder to find deals to flip, as spreads (between purchase and sales prices) are becoming smaller with appreciation," says Than Merrill, CEO of FortuneBuilders, a San Diego-based training firm for real estate investors.

Invest in your own home. Remodeling, renovating and expanding can add value to the home you live in, and have an immediate payoff in enjoyment. If your home has serious need for improvement and is in a healthy market, this is probably the smartest real estate investment for a beginner nervous about being a landlord.

Be careful though, because most improvements do not add as much value as they cost, according to the annual surveys by Remodeler magazine. To make improvements pay financially, you need to choose carefully, not get carried away with personal preferences, and probably do a lot of the work yourself.

Buy real estate investment trusts. REITs are like mutual funds that own real estate instead of stocks or bonds, and they can be bought and sold in an instant. Though each REIT specializes in a certain type of property – strip malls, apartment buildings, office complexes and so on – REITs spread the risk among a number of properties and use professional management, says Wilson Magee, director of Franklin Global Real Estate and Infrastructure Securities.

"Investors can build a real estate portfolio that has geographic and sector diversification by investing in a few selected REITs," Magee says.

With a REIT, he says, you can buy into a big property you could never afford with a direct investment, and REIT management minimizes costs with economies of scale.

Whatever approach you take to real estate investing, most experts recommend dipping a toe rather than plunging in, so you'll survive if things go wrong or the hassles become intolerable.

Source: U.S. News & World Report, Jeff Brown
http://money.usnews.com/investing/articles/2016-05-17/how-to-begin-investing-in-real-estate

Wednesday, May 4, 2016

4 Keys to Buying a Flipped House

shutterstock_179539115

Many home buyers wrongly assume that a newly renovated home is, well, just that: new. They perceive it as move-in ready and free from hassles. The newly renovated home typically pulls in top dollar, because the buyer assumes it is perfect, turnkey and ready to go.

Although house-flipping shows on television often make the process seem easy and feature beautiful homes with happy stories, they don’t follow through to see how the home withstands daily use, weather patterns and typical wear and tear.

Some contractors or property flippers want to move on to the next job as soon as the first one nears completion. Others may uncover unforeseen expenses that send them over budget. As a result, their work may be rushed or subpar.

If you’re buying a flipped house — one that the seller purchased less than one year earlier — the following tips will help ensure you don’t get any unpleasant surprises after closing.

Pay attention to details

As tempting as it can be, try not to get caught up in the excitement of new appliances, marble baths and other fancy bells and whistles. By looking closely at the details, you can learn a lot about the quality of work done on the property.

Be on the lookout for telltale signs of rushed worked such as:


  • Light switch plates that aren’t flush with the wall or are at an angle.
  • Crown molding that isn’t completely matched at the corner.
  • Gaps between the countertops and the wall.
  • Gaps in bathroom tile.
  • Doors or cabinets that don’t close tightly.


Cosmetic mistakes could be an indicator of larger issues that can’t be seen with the naked eye. If the flipper was sloppy on the small details, pay extra attention to other areas such as the electric panel, the water heater’s gas line, and plumbing connectors.

Get an inspection

Because many buyers assume a newly renovated house is in like-new condition, they think it’s okay to skip the inspection. That’s not a great approach, however.

An inspector can check the contractor’s work, and may find issues buyers would miss. For example, were renovations done to code?  Did the contractor cut corners or do the bare minimum in places because of a tight time frame?

Sure, the town/city likely would have had to sign off on the renovations, but city officials are only looking at health and safety issues. The home inspector can check the house from top to bottom. It’s worth paying for an inspection to ensure the home is perfect.

Double your due diligence

When buying a flipped home, it’s more important than ever to review the disclosures. Did the contractor take out permits for the work? If so, were all the permits signed off on?

If you aren’t given copies of all the work approvals or finalized permits, ask for them. If you don’t get them, look them up online or go to the local building department. Any permits taken out or applied for (and officially signed off on) are public record.

Never close on a home without making sure all permits were cleared. Otherwise, as the new homeowner, you could be on the hook for illegal or bad work.

Learn all you can about the flipper

Is the owner the contractor, and is he experienced? Does he have a good reputation in your community? Ask your agent about the background of the person who flipped the house.

Good investors have been at it for a long time, and their reputations precede them. A flipper with a solid reputation should have nothing to hide, and should be open and free with disclosures and provide you with documentation and warranties. Good home flippers want happy customers, too. They don’t want calls from buyers or attorneys a year later with liability issues or complaints about their work.

In the past 18 months, there has been a marked increase in the number of homes bought simply to be renovated and put back on the market. While the improvements may be done well, there’s also a chance the contractor or flipper cut corners or rushed through the project, simply to move on to the next one — leaving the new homeowner with a nightmare on their hands.

Flipped homes should always be double- or triple-checked for potential issues. Inferior work could end up costing you money and giving you headaches in the long run.

Source: Zillow, Brendon Desimone
http://www.zillow.com/blog/how-to-buy-a-flipped-house-157539/

Monday, February 8, 2016

7 Lessons I Learned From Failing At Real Estate Investing



A lot of people make money investing in real estate. But there’s the real version and and the TV version. I fell for the TV version.

Based on little more than a book from a self-proclaimed real estate superstar, I blazed forward and bought my first real estate investment property.

It was a complete failure. I learned seven lessons from that failure, and now I’ll share them with you.

1. If It Sounds Too Good to Be True, It Probably Is – And it Was!

Have you ever heard of a guy named Carlton Sheets? He was one of those how-to-get-rich-in-real-estate-without-really-doing-anything gurus from back in the 1980s and 90s. I wouldn’t be surprised if you don’t know anything about him – he hasn’t been around much lately.

He had a series of convincing TV infomercials, as well as paid real estate investment courses and books, and was quite successful for a number of years.

My father-in-law bought me one of his books, and after reading it I was hooked. I was going to be a real estate millionaire. Look out Donald Trump, Jeff Rose is on your tail, and will be passing you in the fast lane in just a couple of years!

2. Stick With What You Know and Love

Other than the book by Carlton Sheets, the sum total of my accumulated real estate investment knowledge was zero. I had never actually invested in real estate, at least not apart from my own home.

But if you’ve ever seen one of those glitzy TV infomercials about how to get rich, you have to admit they’re pretty convincing. I’m a positive, high-energy guy, and I figured that if anyone could make this plan work, it would be me.

But there was one problem with my thinking: real estate investing is not exactly my thing. And that means everything!

Financial planning is, and I’m all over it. That may be the biggest lesson I learned from failing at real estate investing. Always stick with what you know and love, and leave the other stuff to other people.

3. True Deals Are Harder to Find than You Ever Imagine

My father-in-law and I decided that we’d go into this real estate investment venture together. I was a seasoned money guy, and my father-in-law is an accomplished handyman. It was the perfect tandem for investing in real estate.

I studied Carlton’s book, and knew the “formula” for buying a winning investment property – buy a property from which you can reasonably expect to receive monthly rental income equal to at least 1% of the purchase price.

We found such a property. The asking price was $120,000, and market data indicated that it could be rented for $1,200 per month. Exactly 1%! We were on our way.

But TV infomercial formulas and reality don’t mix. We purchased the property with a $500 earnest money deposit. I then discussed the deal with my CPA, himself a real estate investor with more than a dozen properties. He quickly told me that we overpaid for the property.

That was a direct blow to the stomach – as well as to my ego. Since we just closed on the property, he recommended that we get out of it anyway that we can. With the cooperation of our real estate agent, we were in fact able to void the deal.

But I learned something else for my CPA friend. Finding bargain real estate for investment is not at all easy. Since every other real estate investor in is looking for bargains, you never find them in the usual places. More on that in Lesson #6 below.

4. Never Overpay for a Property

This one is huge. You need to pay much less for the property than it’s true market value.

Not only will that provide the profit on sale, but it will also afford you some protection in the event the property has costly and unexpected repairs.

5. Cash Flow is Everything – And You Better Calculate it Right the First Time

Forget about the 1% rule, the monthly rental should actually be a lot higher. My CPA friend informed me of this after we close on the property, which is when I bothered to actually ask him.

Cash flow is also critical to the success of any real estate investment. The rent has to be sufficient not only to cover the monthly cost of financing, property taxes, insurance, and landlord paid utilities, but it also has to provide a profit, as well as an allowance for some of those unexpected expenses. Expenses like a new roof or furnace.

But whoodda thought? Definitely not me while I was still in my “expert phase”.

6. Looking for Deals in All the Wrong Places

When you are looking to purchase investment real estate you will not find truly good deals in the newspaper classifieds (where I found my “deal”) or even on the local multiple listing service. It’s more likely that you will find a winning property through word-of-mouth and other backdoor channels. It’s often a matter of locating distressed property sales before they hit the market.

The problem is that real estate investment is very competitive. You’re never the only person out there looking for the next big deal. For that reason, all of the usual places you might find property are quickly picked over, few that there are.

Successful real estate investing requires a lot of patience and investment of time. You have to do a lot of digging and get to know a lot of people in order to find the deals that will make it work.

7. Never Let Greed Control Your Actions

So many people have gotten wealthy by investing in real estate that is hard to ignore the opportunity, even if you know nothing about it. It’s called greed, and the combination of big profits and slick TV infomercials can make it too good to be ignored.

But that’s never a decision that’s based on financial reality, or even a reasonable evaluation of your own skill set. It’s based purely on greed. You see big money being made, and you want in. But wanting in and being able to make it happen are two very different things.

From now on, I’ll stick with what I know, and leave the promise of instant riches to the people who write books about it.

That’s my story. Have you ever fell for what turned out to be a money making scheme? Share and make me feel better about my own crash-and-burn.

Souce: Forbes, Jeff Rose
http://www.forbes.com/sites/jrose/2016/02/07/7-lessons-i-learned-from-failing-at-real-estate-investing/3/#86ffd2a55dac

Saturday, January 30, 2016

Some perspective on how real estate dwarfs the rest of the asset universe

I have always been bullish on real estate's long term investment value, and I always recommend to anyone to invest in real estate as opposed to other assets, and this great article from Market Watch just confirms this.



The total value of all developed real estate on the planet reached a whopping $217 trillion in 2015, according to a new report released on Monday by U.K.-based real estate adviser Savills.

For some perspective, that amounts to 2.7 times the world’s GDP and about 60% of all mainstream assets, the analysis shows. Furthermore, Yolanda Barnes, who leads Savills research team, said the total value eclipses all the gold ever mined ($6 trillion) by a factor of 36 to 1.

“The value of global real estate exceeds – by almost a third – the total value of all globally traded equities and securitised debt instruments put together and this highlights the important role that real estate plays in economies world-wide,” she said. “Real estate is the pre-eminent asset class which will be most impacted by global monetary conditions and investment activity and which, in turn, has the power to most impact national and international economies.”


The study pointed to quantitative easing and the resulting low interest rates for fueling a spike in real-estate prices. Residential real estate has been the biggest beneficiary with a value of $162 trillion.

China accounts for almost a quarter of the total value. Makes sense, considering the country contains about a fifth of the world’s population. The U.S., on the other hand, has only 5% of the population, but makes up 21% of global residential asset value.

On the commercial front, it’s even more pronounced. North America is home to almost half of the world’s commercial value, the study finds, while Europe makes up more than a quarter. South America, the Middle East and Africa combine for just 5%.

The study didn’t include the value of “informal neighborhood commercial properties,” like smaller shops and local workspaces. Savills explained that while they offer “huge potential for future investment as economies mature and real-estate markets develop within them,” they are almost impossible to value at a global level.

Source: Market Watch, Shawn Langlois
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/some-perspective-on-how-real-estate-dwarfs-the-rest-of-the-asset-universe-2016-01-25

Friday, January 22, 2016

Powerball Jackpot: Powering Real Estate?



Powerball jackpots could power a lot of investment… and these days, commercial real estate is one of the more promising investment categories. With that in mind, our analysts at CrediFi set out to have some fun and craft three alternative investment approaches, factoring in that the winning tickets were sold in California, Florida and Tennessee. Of course, these may be of use to others as well, whether using approaches centered on (illiquid) building-level debt and equity, or more liquid capital markets securities.

Now, no single individual will get the full Powerball jackpot of $1.6 billion. If everyone takes a lump sum, then once federal taxes are taken, each of the three winners would be left with approximately $200 million. Theoretical billionaires no longer, these winners will still be multi-millionaires and still have enough to put a good chunk of change into the real estate market, if they so choose. Add in some leverage and/or joint venture equity on top, and we assume that each winner could have upwards of $500 million to spend in CRE.

How, then, should they invest their money?

Fortunately for the winners, not only do California, Florida and Tennessee impose no state taxes for lottery winnings, they also all have cities in the top 20 real estate markets, according to the PricewaterhouseCoopers-Urban Land Institute report on emerging trends in real estate in 2016.

So let’s take a look at several real estate strategies — what we’re calling trophy hunting, diamond seeking and vehicle spotting — that the lucky winners could use to invest in their own states, with a focus on Los Angeles (No. 10 in the top-20 list), Miami (No. 19) and Nashville (No. 7). Any of these strategies can be used on their own or mixed and matched.

Trophy hunting

Trophy hunters seek out high-profile properties in a given market, such as new or notable skyscrapers, landmark buildings… or the Playboy Mansion in Los Angeles’ Holmby Hills neighborhood, which Playboy Enterprises recently announced is being listed for sale for $200 million (but surely they can be bargained down at least a couple million).

Source: Forbes Business, Ely Razin
http://www.forbes.com/sites/elyrazin/2016/01/21/powerball-jackpot-powering-real-estate/#1f9f94d254f1

Monday, January 11, 2016

U.S. Real Estate to Draw More Foreigners in 2016, Survey Says

Foreign investment is very important here in the Silicon Valley, but apparently it is very important for a number of other top real estate markets here in the U.S. Foreign buyers view American real estate a safe investment compared to other investments and the article cites San Francisco, a city just 50 miles north of the silicon valley as one of the top cities for outside investment.


Most foreign investors expect to put more money into U.S. property this year than they did in 2015, with New York remaining the top target market worldwide, according to a survey by the Association of Foreign Investors in Real Estate.

Sixty-four percent of respondents said they intend to make modest or major increases to investments in U.S. real estate this year, while 31 percent expect to maintain their holdings or reinvest sales proceeds into other U.S. assets, according to the 24th annual survey by the group, known as AFIRE. None of the respondents plans a major decrease. About half of the group’s roughly 200 members participated in the survey.

“This is a very strong response,” Jim Fetgatter, chief executive of Washington-based AFIRE, whose members hold about $2 trillion of real estate globally, said in a phone interview. China’s economic slowdown, Brazil’s recession and Europe’s immigration crisis underscored for international investors that “the U.S., at the moment, really is the safest place for them to go.”

Foreign purchases of U.S. real estate have soared since the financial crisis, jumping to $87.3 billion of completed deals last year, from less than $5 billion in 2009, according to Real Capital Analytics Inc. Investors from Canada, Asia, Europe and Australia bought stakes in office towers, warehouses, apartment buildings, shopping malls and hotels in search of relatively higher yields. Manhattan captured $23.5 billion, or 27 percent, of 2015 purchases, Real Capital data show.

The U.S. also ranked first for countries with the best opportunity for price appreciation in 2016, followed by Brazil, Spain, Ireland and the U.K., the AFIRE survey showed.

Top Cities

London and Los Angeles were the second- and third-most-popular cities for real estate investments in the survey. Berlin climbed three places to No. 4, the first year a German city reached the top five. Paris tied with San Francisco for fifth place, according to AFIRE.

Within the U.S., multifamily and industrial real estate were the favorite property types for a second year, while retail moved up to third place from fourth. Offices fell to fourth from third, and hotels stayed at No. 5, according to the survey.

The recent passage of legislation easing taxes for foreign pension funds that buy U.S. real estate probably will boost investment further, Fetgatter said. Many cross-border investors previously bought U.S. properties with domestic majority partners.

The new law “simplifies the investment process and opens up a lot of opportunities for structuring their deals in a different way,” he said.

Source: Bloomberg Business, Hui-Young Yu
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-04/u-s-real-estate-to-draw-more-foreigners-in-2016-survey-says

Thursday, December 24, 2015

Foreclosures Just Got Way Fancier: How to Score a Deal on a Luxury Home

foreclosure

Think foreclosed homes are always ramshackle properties with overgrown lawns, boarded-up windows, and hordes of squatters? On the contrary, they can also be mansions on the beach or stately apartments at the top of a Four Seasons Hotel that, even in their “distressed” state, are worth well into the six figures.

In fact, foreclosures priced at more than a $1 million have been in such high demand lately, they’ve been creating bidding wars and selling at a premium.

So what’s the story behind these high-end abandoned abodes? Many represent strategic choices by homeowners to walk away from an underwater investment property. Because these owners often have more than one place, they don’t have as much of an emotional connection to each one.

“Luxury owners view it as a business decision and not as much as a personal failure,” says Bruce Ailion, an Atlanta-based Realtor® and attorney. It’s a business decision for them, but an opportunity for you!

But buying a foreclosure, especially a high-end one, isn’t for the faint of heart, since its high price tag makes it a heftier risk. So if you’re curious about what it takes, here are some tips on doing it right—and some current listings that will get you salivating.

Weigh repairs and improvements carefully

Even high-end homes have flaws that must be fixed. And while banks will typically make repairs and improvements to luxury foreclosure homes before listing them, they may make low-cost fixes that could conflict sharply with the character and value of the home—so keep an eye out for things such as cheap carpet or crummy appliances. Also, try to get an inspector with experience in the luxury market.

“Just as you would not have your Ferrari worked on at the corner garage, you should not choose just anyone to evaluate a complex home,” Ailion says. And if you or an inspector finds an issue, know that banks are less likely to pay for it than to give you a discount to take care of it. “Banks typically want to sell these properties as is,” Ailion says. And the more high-end or custom a home, the more expensive those repairs will be.

Skip the lowball offer

The days of getting a 50% discount on a property because it’s bank-owned have passed. If the home is in good condition—as luxury homes tend to be—you’ll likely be competing with investors and all-cash offers.

“Banks are a lot less motivated to make deals happen than they were in 2008, when they just wanted to get things off their books,” says Ryan Wright, CEO of DoHardMoney.com, which provides financial services to fix-and-flip real estate investors. In fact, this year foreclosures worth more than $1 million were selling at an average of 3% above asking price!

Bottom line: If you have your eye on a home, know that haggling too hard may get you knocked out of competition.

But don’t overpay, either

While lowball offers don’t behoove you, neither does overpaying. So don’t get sucked into going over budget to win the property.

“Oftentimes there are bidding wars on these properties, and we’ll see buyers pay upward of $600,000 more than what the list price is,” says Alexandria Carlson, an associate broker with Engel & Volkers in Scottsdale, AZ. Know what your limit is, and stick to it: Foreclosure or not, if you end up paying more than the property is worth (or than you can afford), you’re getting a bad deal.

Find the right Realtor(s)

Since there’s a ton of extra paperwork involved with buying a bank-owned property, smooth the process by working with a Realtor® experienced in foreclosures. And since luxury properties have their own peculiarities, you’re best off getting someone with experience in both areas: foreclosures and the luxury market. And if you can’t, consider hiring two agents that can work as a team for you and split the commission.

Here’s a sample of some of the high-end foreclosures available now:

451 Mashta Drive, Key Biscayne, FL

List price: $8.9 million

This nine-bedroom, seven-bathroom, Mediterranean-style estate is on the water with a private dock and ocean access.

An $8.9 million Mediterranean-inspired estate in Key Biscayne, Fla.

132 E. Delaware Place, Apt. 6302, Chicago, IL

List price: $5.9 million

This 7,000-square-foot duplex has stunning city views and is located at the top of the Four Seasons Hotel—easily near fine dining.

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12 Horizon, Newport Coast, CA

List price: $4.9 million

This 7,400-square-foot residence in Pelican Hill Estates has six bedrooms and 7.5 bathrooms. And check out that pool!

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50 Bellevue, Ave., Piedmont, CA

List price: $3.9 million

In addition to five bedrooms and 4.5 bathrooms, this home has a library and ballroom—what debutante could resist?

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2515 Mercedes Drive, Fort Lauderdale, FL

List price: $3.5 million

This waterfront, four-bedroom, 7,700-square-foot home needs work, but it has a private boat dock and an elevator. Apparently, stairs are optional in this multimillion-dollar home!

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Source: Realtor.com, Beth Braverman

Wednesday, November 25, 2015

Before You Buy a Fixer-Upper, Read This

old-house-to-fix

Yes, my husband and I did it: We bought a fixer-upper, and it nearly did us in. It was Brooklyn, NY, in 2008. I remember walking to the place for the first time and seeing the back seat of a van on cinder blocks being used as a couch—and quickly looked past that eyesore. This could be a great space once it was renovated, I thought. The light was abundant, the space ample and flexible, and its Park Slope neighborhood was about to bloom.

Six months into the renovations, our contractor told us: “In hindsight, we should have knocked this down and started from scratch. It would have been cheaper.” Ah, blessed hindsight.

We wanted to keep you from getting sucked into a money pit of your own. For expert advice, we turned to Cathy Baumbusch, a Realtor® in Washington, DC, who told us how to master the art of buying a fixer-upper.

1. Know that some flaws can be fixed

Fixer-uppers generally fall into two categories: total wreck and ugly house.

“An ugly house is not architecturally appealing: Its paint is chipping away, the yard is unkempt, inside it may smell bad,” says Baumbusch. In short, everything about it needs freshening up.

But if these are the kinds of flaws you’re dealing with, take heart: They’re merely cosmetic, and they’re easy to fix. Painting is the easiest task that you can do yourself. Just don’t cut corners—buy all the right equipment (use the tape!) and paint correctly, with the right number of coats. It’s extra work, but it pays off in the end. Even if you hire a painter, it won’t cost as much as redoing the bathroom. You could also refinish the floors yourself, although it involves renting a machine.

2. Then again, other flaws cost a bundle

On the other hand, some blemishes may initially slide under your radar—but eventually make a big impression on your wallet.

“Problems with the foundation, structure, roofing, and siding can be expensive to fix,” says Baumbusch—as can major replacements with sewage, septic, and heating, ventilating, and air-conditioning systems. Replacing decks and driveways can also be costly. Sometimes environmental problems such as a wet basement or mold can be mitigated, but treatments are not always successful. In some houses, it can just be impossible to solve a bad mold problem.

“I once viewed a property for sale where the mold was so bad, it was difficult to breathe,” says Baumbusch. “It was everywhere, and the property management company was doing nothing to stop it. That home would probably be better off completely gutted or razed altogether.”

3. Ballpark your renovation costs

Hire a structural engineer to evaluate the home before you buy—but before you even get there, do your research. There are a lot of repair estimators out there, so ask your friends and co-workers if they’ve done repairs lately and could tell you how much they cost. That way, you can quickly ascertain whether the repairs would fall within your budget. Draw up a reference sheet for renovation costs such as roof, foundation, HVAC, and windows. This will help you to determine a viable offer price.

4. Ask for a discount—gently

Now on to the real upside of buying a fixer-upper: major savings! These houses can go for as little as 60% to 80% of the original asking price, says Baumbusch. This is especially true if the home has been sitting on the market for a while, or if you’re able to offer cash upfront.

Of course, even if you and everyone within eyeball range know that this house is in shambles, that doesn’t mean the sellers know that, or want to hear it. To avoid insulting them, start out by saying you love their home, but you (or your engineer, inspector, or friend) have noticed some issues that will take time and money to fix. Then subtract that sum from their asking price, and you don’t have to stop there.

If the renovations will keep you from living (or living comfortably) in your home, it’s also customary to tack on an extra fee for what Realtors call “the hassle factor,” which can be estimated by the amount of time and money you’d spend living elsewhere while the renovations happen.

The bottom line: The more you break down your expenses, the more sense your offer will make to the sellers, who will hopefully play ball.

5. Get the right kind of loan

A home requiring major renovations can qualify for a special type of financing called a renovation loan. And there are different types: A 203(k) loan, recently rising in popularity, is insured by the Federal Housing Administration. Since these loans are backed by the government, lenders are fine accepting lower interest rates than what would be required by your typical home renovation loan; they’re also open to people with less-than-stellar credit. The downside? There’s a limit to how much you can borrow (anywhere from $271,000 to $729,750, depending on the price of property in your area). Be sure to explore all your options with your Realtor or other qualified experts.

In the case of our Brooklyn home, we transformed a disheveled hovel into a beautiful home. It took a very long time and a lot of money. It just might have been nice to know what we were actually getting into to try to avoid the panic that came with every change order.

So, if you’re thinking about tackling a fixer-upper, trust me—it helps to know what you’re in for first.

Source: Realtor.com, Rosie Amodio
http://www.realtor.com/advice/buy/how-to-buy-a-fixer-upper/

Monday, November 2, 2015

How to Make Sure Your Dream Home Is a Good Investment, Too

dream-house-money
You’ve probably heard real estate can be safer than the stock market, while still yielding decent returns. This can be true, but adding real estate to your portfolio is very different from investing in stocks, bonds, and certificates of deposit. Finding success in the housing market often requires being able to find good deals and ripe opportunities. Check out some tips below to help you launch your housing market investment career.

1. Assess your goals

It’s important to check your credit and have your finances in order before you get into the housing market. (You can get a free credit report summary from Credit.com to see where you stand.) If you are struggling to make your own mortgage payments, real estate investment might not be the right move. But if you are willing to put the time in to research a good location and deal, crunch numbers to test a property’s financial potential, and can manage the maintenance needed, then it might be a good fit for you. Just be sure you know what you are looking to gain from the experience and understand what it will take to get there.

2. Know the market

It’s a good idea to spend some time learning about the process of real estate investing. Real estate rules vary by state, so it’s important to know about the state you are looking at. You can read books or ask a local real estate expert.

3. Consider multiple buying sources

You can look beyond the local multiple listing service to find homes available for purchase. With your criteria set you can check the newspaper, Craigslist, and real estate auction sites for properties that match what you are looking for. You can also find good opportunities through word of mouth.

4. Find a good real estate agent

Not all real estate agents have experience or know how to help investors find the right type of properties. Before the real estate crash, only a small percentage of real estate professionals would even work with housing investors. As the market slowed, more became open to the idea and some have even taken courses to understand the ins and outs. It’s a good idea to choose a real estate agent who has sold several investment properties and understand your goals as well as the ideal return on investment.

5. Play by the numbers

If you are investing in real estate to increase your net worth, it’s a good idea to make sure it’s part of a balanced financial plan. Whether you are trying to build up a retirement fund or eventually replace income from a traditional job, it’s important to make sure the choices you’re making continue to fit into that plan.

You may find you need to hold on to a home you intended to flip, if repair or closing costs were more than expected. In this case, you can consider renting it out until you are able to sell it for the profit you are aiming for. Likewise, if you were planning to rent out the property, but someone offers you more than expected to buy it, you may want to sell and move onto the next property. It can be a good idea to let your goals and the numbers be your guide.

Source: Realtor.com via Credit.com, AJ Smith
http://www.realtor.com/advice/finance/how-to-make-sure-your-dream-home-is-a-good-investment-too/

Friday, October 30, 2015

ABC Nightline on Flipping

Here's a great video I found on RealtyTrac's website regarding the realities of house flipping. Over there years I have seen many so called "reality TV" shows on cable TV that portray house flipping as easy. Then I often hear radio commercials as I am driving in my car of some huckster or another promising real estate riches if you can just pay $100 for his guaranteed to work house flipping system. Well, if you're on the fence about flipping houses for profit, I suggest you watch the below video before you get suckered into something you're not prepared for. I am not saying buying houses, fixing them up, and selling for profits is not a way to make money, just know what you're getting yourself into.



Related:
5 Mistakes That Make House Flipping A Flop

Tuesday, October 27, 2015

Selling Stocks to Buy a Home? How to Do It Right



I thought I'd take a moment to post this article since quite a few buyers here in the silicon valley, who work in the tech sector have had to cash in some of their stock options to buy that dream house. Quite a few of my past buyers have had to do this.


WSJ sell stocks buy homeTo cover the down payment required for a jumbo loan, some home buyers are borrowing money—from themselves.


When buying a home in Avon, Conn., Matthew and Shannon Carbray decided to sell some of their stock holdings to make a down payment on a $1.02 million, five-bedroom property. But initially, they couldn’t agree on the amount to put down.

Knowing that this is the home where the couple plans to stay and raise a family, Mr. Carbray, a 35-year-old managing partner at Avon-based Ridgeline Financial Partners, wanted to put down 20%, the minimum required down payment for most jumbo mortgages. He calculated that cash left in the stock market would make greater gains than the low cost of interest locked in for 30 years, and that interest also is tax-deductible, he says.

Ms. Carbray, a 32-year-old fixed-income portfolio manager at Hartford Investment Management Co., wanted to cash out more stock and put down 30% because she just felt more comfortable with lower monthly mortgage payments, Mr. Carbray says.

“I was looking at it mathematically and my wife was looking at it emotionally,” he adds.

In the end, they compromised and put 25% down to buy their home in March.

In 2014, about one-fifth of borrowers sold stocks or bonds or borrowed against their retirement accounts to finance a home purchase, according to the National Association of Realtors. (News Corp, which owns The Wall Street Journal, also owns Realtor.com, the listing website of the National Association of Realtors.)

There are no hard and fast rules regarding if and when to cash in stocks to make a home purchase. Lenders and financial planners, however, advise borrowers not to panic, just plan ahead, especially in periods of market volatility. They will caution against borrowing from a retirement plan, because homeowners risk hefty penalties and an income-tax bill if they fail to follow loan-repayment terms.

An alternative to selling stocks is getting a loan secured against assets, says Stephen Stabile, a financial adviser with Merrill Lynch Wealth Management. For example, Bank of America Merrill Lynch has a “loan-management account” that offers clients a line of credit based on their Merrill Lynch taxable brokerage portfolio holdings.

The funds can go toward numerous uses, including a mortgage down payment. Customers with substantial holdings currently may get interest rates that are lower than on 30-year, fixed-rate jumbo mortgages, but could be higher than on other types of mortgages, Mr. Stabile says. One recent borrower, a client who was buying a nearly $5 million New York condo, opted to borrow against her stock holdings instead of selling stocks in a down market.

Borrowers should keep in mind, however, that most banks require a greater collateral amount, usually 125%, for a securities-backed loan than for straight dollars in a bank account, to allow for market fluctuations, says Mike McPartland, head of investment finance for Citibank Private Bank North America. “So if it’s a $250,000 down payment, the bank would require that $312,500 remain in that investment account the entire time,” he adds.

However, should the stock market fall precipitously, borrowers could be subject to a margin call and forced to pay the difference between the required collateral amount and its current market value, Mr. McPartland says.

Here are a few more factors to consider:

• Don’t wait too long. Home buyers who wait until the last minute to cash in stocks—hoping that values will rise—risk delaying the home closing, since the sale and money transfer can take several business days, says Peter Grabel, managing director of Stamford, Conn.-based Luxury Mortgage Corp. Also, a stock-market drop amid a home purchase could affect a borrower’s ability to qualify for a loan, he adds.

• Liquidate early. Cash in a bank account is worth more than stocks or mutual funds when it comes to qualifying for a mortgage, because lenders typically value a portfolio at only 70% of its current monetary value, Mr. Grabel says.

• Long-term gains. Borrowers whose stock has appreciated significantly will likely face capital-gains taxes when they sell their holdings, adding to the cost of the home, Mr. Stabile says.

Source: Realtor.com, Anya Martin
http://www.realtor.com/advice/finance/selling-stocks-to-buy-a-home-how-to-do-it-right/

Sunday, October 18, 2015

Investment Property ROI: Why going beyond your network of friends is critical


The recovering residential housing market continues to offer lucrative investment opportunities for first time and experienced investors looking to fix and flip a house. However, a new challenge is emerging out of the recovery: a shrinking tolerance for mistakes. The single largest mistake beginner real estate investors make today is trying to do it all themselves or relying too heavily on friends and family to execute on the real estate investment.

Sometimes a friend may have a knack for what color to refinish the hardwood floors, or who to use for repairing a roof, but rarely do these close acquaintances come to the table with the focus on return on investment (ROI) necessary to be successful today. First time investors often worry that going outside their circle of friends and family to find a vendor partner to run property rehabilitation might cut into profits. This wasn't as much of an issue when the fix and flip market exploded during the economic downturn and profit was nearly guaranteed. Investors who purchased properties in 2007 or 2008 were making money and gaining valuable experience -- the market was hot and purchase prices reasonable so novice investors could have made any number of mistakes and still realized great returns on their investments.

Assessing an Ever-Changing Market

Property values in many regions of the country have recovered and fewer distressed properties are making it to the market so the market is less forgiving. Those who were investing in the downturn learned their lesson and what mistakes not to repeat when the margins were far wider than they are today. Investors who are now counting their fix and flip successes in the double digits resoundingly say an investor must be able to make an accurate assessment of the property's value and calculate a realistic cost for the rehabilitation -- and execute to achieve the desired margin.  When it comes to investing, working with the right vendor partners -- from appraisers to contractors to suppliers -- was the hardest lesson learned.

There's no easy way; investors have to be ready to work and understand and mitigate risks across the investment lifecycle. They also need to know that their insulated network of family and friends may be free or ready to do a project at a discount -- but they may not be the best people to turn to. Many investors think the more work they can do themselves the more ROI they'll see. Evaluating new vendors takes time -- but it can be time well spent if it makes an investment much more profitable by avoiding lost time and revenue from the mistakes less experienced investors and their friends are likely to make.

Third party experts can provide immediate pay-off by utilizing proven best practices and proper planning which can go a long way towards avoiding big mistakes. Appraisers can help determine as-is and after repair values and a general contractor can ensure you are receiving a proper assessment of rehab costs.  Investors can use this information to determine whether the property has the potential to achieve the returns they are seeking before buying.

Once it is determined that the end product can achieve the desired ROI, a knowledgeable and reliable team of professional partners are critical for keeping a project on track to actually deliver those returns.  These include an array of service providers, such as valuation companies, real estate agents, materials suppliers and most important, a general contractor attuned to the local market.

General Contractors: The Key to Achieving ROI

The single greatest lesson successful real estate investors have learned is how to hire one of the most important vendors: the general contractor. To do this, an investor must look outside their network to evaluate contractors and find the right fit. The investor's cousin who is handy with a hammer may not be the right choice. Hiring an experienced, professional contractor at the outset ensures their experience in the market is going to help improve the bottom line when it comes time to sell or rent the property.

Choosing a contractor begins with a background check to identify if they have had a recent bankruptcy or foreclosure events, any fraudulent or criminal activity on record, and is financially solvent and capable of seeing your project through completion. The investor should ask for a minimum of 5 references and call each and every one of them. Let me repeat: yes, 5, and yes, call everyone one of them. Keep in mind that the references supplied by vendors are almost always likely to be positive, so as you narrow the list, be sure to go see some of their work in person.

When rehabbing a property the investor also needs to know they are hiring a renovator, not a builder. A novice investor should have someone running their project that has performed rehabs on similar properties. They want a contractor who knows the neighborhood. This is important as they will know the finishes that are consistent with the surrounding homes and won't recommend granite countertops when this would be the only house on the street with that expensive upgrade. Additionally, they should know the local climate enough to know there may be particular issues, such as mold. This may seem obvious, but investors moving from the Sun Belt to the Rust Belt -- following markets primed for fixing and flipping -- are not uncommon and unfortunately they are not aware of risks inherent in the new market as their knowledge doesn't always transfer seamlessly.

At the end of a project, when the property is sold, the lessons learned with a network of skilled vendors on the team will have  prepared the investor for their next project -- not sitting back reviewing the laundry list of mistakes and who to hire to fix them. By hiring the right experts, from appraisers to contractors to suppliers, investors can find success and then share it with friends and family as they choose -- a much better outcome.

Source: RealtyTimes, Thomas O'Sullivan
http://realtytimes.com/consumeradvice/buyersadvice1/item/39050-20151009-investment-property-roi-why-going-beyond-your-network-of-friends-is-critical

Monday, October 5, 2015

Should You Rent Your House to Others?

With rental prices rising, you may be wondering if now's the time to become a landlord. There are advantages to renting your current home while you purchase another to live in.

The advantage to renting your home is that you're likely paying a homestead mortgage interest rate, which will make it easier to make a profit than if you purchased rental property with a mortgage at a higher interest rate. As you've owned your home, it's likely appreciated in value, allowing your home to compete well in the rental market so you can use profits to put back into the home to keep it rentable.

Assuming you're current on your mortgage, have the credit scores to buy another home, and have saved enough cash for a down payment, now may be the ideal time to add a rental investment to your portfolio.

Real estate has always served as a hedge against inflation and against other investments, so the first thing to do is find out how rents compare to home prices in your area. Your real estate professional can provide you with market comparables that show you how much homes are renting for per square foot and how quickly they rent, as well as for what prices comparable homes are selling.

If the rental income is enough to cover your mortgage, you're in good shape, but there are other expenses to consider, such as income taxes, advertising, listing and management fees, and maintenance.

For income tax purposes, your current mortgage isn't considered a cost of doing business that you can deduct like office supplies or equipment purchases. You'll pay taxes on this gross amount, less repairs and management fees, if any. On the bright side, if you sell the property within five years and you've occupied the home two of those five years, you'll likely pay no capital gains at all up to $250,000 for an individual or $500,000 for a couple.

To qualify for a mortgage on another home, your ender follows a typical multiple home formula. Even though you may have your home rented, plan to deduct approximately 20% of rental income from your "investment." Why? Most homes have a period where they are not rented while they're on the market, which means no rental income. Your lender wants to make sure you can handle periods when your home isn't rented.

When you turn your home into a rental, it's no longer a homestead, but an enterprise. Tax laws require you to make a profit within three years of launching an enterprise, or otherwise you won't be able to take deductions associated with it. Also, expect to pay more in property taxes as you will also lose the homestead deduction rate, since you'll be applying for the homestead deduction on your new home.

On the other hand, one of the best ways to build equity is to have someone else pay your mortgage for you. The longer you own your home and the longer it's rented, the more the amortization tables turn in your favor. Every loan payment is made of principal and interest. The longer you own your home, the larger the percentage that goes toward reducing principal.

Based on the purchase price of your home, you can deduct "depreciation" from your income every year you rent it, but this amount decreases with time. You can also deduct some maintenance and improvement expenses which are not available to homesteaders. See your tax professional for more information.

There are other pros and cons of becoming a landlord. You'll be dealing with people who don't respect your home as much as you do and could cause damages. They may skip out without paying the final month's rent. You'll have two homes to maintain, and could get broken plumbing or appliance calls in the middle of the night. On the bright side, renters of single-family homes tend to be older, more responsible and remain occupants longer. Also many losses are tax-deductible to landlords.

Ask your real estate professional or someone else that you know who owns rental property for more insights. They'll be able to share real-life property management situations and costs that may help you to decide if this is the right step for you.

Source: RealtyTimes, Blanche Evans
http://realtytimes.com/consumeradvice/homeownersadvice1/item/38854-20151002-should-you-rent-your-home-to-others-htm

Wednesday, September 9, 2015

As Stocks Fall, Real Estate May Be the Best Defense



Pencils ready? Here’s today’s investment pop quiz.

Which asset class has performed as well as bonds during U.S. equity bear markets of the past 60 years?

The answer, perhaps surprisingly, is residential real estate. During the Great Recession, of course, the real estate market collapsed along with stocks. But residential real estate’s performance during the 2007-2009 bear market was anomalous, according to data from Yale University’s Robert Shiller, winner of last year’s Nobel Prize in economics and the co-creator of the Case-Shiller Home-Price Index.

In 14 of the 15 previous U.S. equity bear markets, going back to 1956, the home-price index rose. And in that lone bear market prior to 2007 in which home prices did fall, they did so by just 0.4%.

Besides bonds, no other asset class comes close to this good a track record during bear markets.

Residential real estate’s ability to hedge equity bear markets is of more than just historical curiosity, of course. The stock market recently experienced a full-scale correction, and it’s possible that we are already in a new bear market. And even if we’re not, a 20% or greater decline will happen sooner or later.

Residential real estate might even be a superior hedge than bonds in the next equity bear market. While real estate historically has risen along with inflation (positive correlation), bonds have been inversely correlated, tending to fall when inflation rises. If inflation were to heat up during the next bear market — as it did during the stagflation era of the 1970s, for example — bonds would be battling stiff headwinds.

The $64,000 question for investors seeking a hedge: Was residential real estate’s crash during the 2007-2009 equity bear market an anomalous event?

Professor Shiller’s response, when I put that question to him, was “To some extent, it must be… Overall there just isn’t much correlation of home prices with the stock market. So it [what happened in 2007-2009] looks like just chance.”

He added that residential real estate’s terrible performance during the Great Recession was in no small part caused by idiosyncratic developments such as “subprime mortgages, securitized in tranches, and dubious innovations, [as well as] liars loans.” Those developments are unlikely to play as big a role in the future, due to the greater “vigilance” that regulators now exercise over the real estate market — such as the Dodd-Frank act, which became law in 2010.

All of this suggests that investors should consider the possibility of hedging their equity portfolios with an allocation to residential real estate. Unfortunately, however, as Professor Shiller hastens to point out, that’s easier said than done. Many of the obvious investment vehicles don’t actually provide genuine exposure to home prices.

Take your home, for example, or investments in any other individual properties, for that matter. Idiosyncratic factors that are unique to each property will cause its investment return to diverge widely from that of the residential asset class as a whole. In addition, the market for physical real estate is relatively illiquid and transaction costs are high.

Real estate investment trusts (REITs) have a different set of drawbacks as a hedge. Though the market for them is quite liquid, they tend to “pretty much track the stock market” rather than the average price of residential real estate, according to Professor Schiller.

The same goes for stocks of home construction companies. Over the past two decades, for example, there has been a statistically insignificant correlation between the S&P 1500 Homebuilding index and the Case-Shiller Home Price Index. In contrast, those home building company stocks have been highly correlated with the overall stock market.

It is difficult to construct an exchange-traded fund pegged to the Case-Shiller Home Price Index – in fact the one ETF that attempted to do shut down just a year after it was established.

That leaves the futures market. Investors can bet on the performance of residential real estate via futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange that are tied to the Case Shiller Home Price Indices. But the market for these contracts is relatively illiquid, so even this alternative is not ideal. If you do invest in these futures contracts, be sure to use limit orders rather than market orders to buy and sell.

If you were convinced that a bear market in stocks had begun, you could hedge your equity holdings with an investment in residential real estate by allocating a small portion of your portfolio to these futures. You would pick a contract with a long-enough maturity to encompass the likely length of the bear market.

According Ned Davis Research, the average bear market of the past century lasted 13 months — and no bear market since the Great Depression has lasted two years.

Many individual investors have an aversion to playing the futures market on the grounds that they are too risky or hard to trade. But what makes futures risky is the leverage that traders employ, not the contracts themselves. The standard deviation of the Case-Shiller index’s annual returns, for example, is less than half that of the S&P 500 — and even more than a third less than that of long-term U.S. Treasuries.

Furthermore, most of the largest discount brokerage firms now allow you to trade futures as easily as you would an individual stock or ETF. So the aversion to futures may be a legacy of days of old when you had to jump through a lot of hoops to trade.

Investors with no experience trading futures would be advised to consult a financial advisor before doing so. If residential real estate performs as well in the next equity bear market as it has in most declines over the past half century, you will be glad you included it in your portfolio.

Source: Barron's, Mark Hulbert
http://www.barrons.com/articles/as-stocks-fall-real-estate-may-be-the-best-defense-1441104699

Wednesday, September 2, 2015

The 20 Hottest U.S. Real Estate Markets in August 2015

Two of the top 20 hottest markets in the U.S. are right here in the San Francisco bay area, one of which is right here in the Silicon Valley; San Jose. This isn't the first article I've seen, or posted on this blog, about how hot this real estate market is here. I always tell my new buyer clients about the strength of the market here. Articles like this are part of the proof.


The 20 Hottest U.S. Real Estate Markets in August 2015
San Francisco-shaped key
The colors of the leaves may not be turning yet, but we’re already feeling the first hints of the changing season here at realtor.com®. When our economic research team analyzed our data for the first three weeks of August, it found that the market—which has been seriously tilted in favor of sellers for some time now—is just starting to tip slightly back toward buyers.

Now, don’t get us wrong: Sellers still have the advantage. It’s just that their advantage is being reduced.

“We are now entering the time of the year when both inventory and demand typically reach their peak as the start of the school year takes away a substantial chunk of near-term demand,” said Jonathan Smoke, chief economist of realtor.com.

“This year we’re seeing inventory continue to grow in August,” he continued. “And while overall demand is strong, the trend on median days on market is suggesting that the market is finding more of a balance—and that bodes well for would-be buyers who have been frustrated by the inability to find a home to buy this spring and summer.”

In the first three weeks of August, listings inventory grew 3% over July. The median list price increased to $233,000, up 8% year over year and virtually flat against July. The median number of days on market has increased to 75 days, reflecting the shift in favor of buyers. The metric is down 6% year over year, meaning that the market is still hotter than last year, but the 6% month-over-month gain means that inventory is now moving slower than it has all spring and summer.

The hot list

Our data team reviewed listing views by market as an indicator of buyer demand and median days on market as an indicator of supply. This analysis led to the identification of the 20 hottest medium-size to large markets in the country.

These markets receive 1.8 to 3 times the number of views per listing compared to the national average. These markets are seeing inventory move 29 to 48 days more quickly than the rest of the U.S. They have also seen days on market drop by a combined average of 13% year over year.

20 hottest U.S. real estate markets


  • San Francisco, CA
  • Dallas, TX
  • Denver, CO
  • Vallejo, CA
  • Santa Rosa, CA
  • San Jose, CA
  • San Diego, CA
  • Midland, TX
  • Sacramento, CA
  • Columbus, OH
  • Ann Arbor, MI
  • Santa Cruz, CA
  • Detroit, MI
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Oxnard, CA
  • Stockton, CA
  • Yuba City, CA
  • Austin, TX
  • San Antonio, TX
  • Nashville, TN

Note: These markets encompass adjoining metro areas. San Francisco, for example, also includes Oakland and Hayward.

Source: Realtor.com, Cicely Wedgeworth
http://www.realtor.com/news/trends/the-hottest-housing-markets-of-august-2015/

Tuesday, September 1, 2015

The Chinese are about to flood the U.S. real estate market

There are a number of Realtors here in the Silicon Valley who specialize in foreign buyers, particularly Chinese investors, and the stock market troubles in China last week left many of those agents wondering where that leaves the US real estate market. The real estate market here in the Silicon Valley is largely propped up by the tech workers and Chinese investors, without them we wouldn't be enjoying the robust market we are having. Many of my clients came from the tech sector or foreign investors. 

Anyhow, check out the great article below from The Real Deal about the growing concern of Chinese investors with their money in the Chinese stock market and how they are increasingly looking to U.S. real estate as a safe place to park their money.

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After yet another drop in the Shanghai stock market and Hang Seng index on August 6, Daniel Chang heard his cell phone ping. The real-estate agent was on a business trip in Shanghai, and he was mid-bite during a dinner when he saw his phone light up from a message on his app, WeChat.

It was a Chinese client concerned over a $6 million property she was about to buy in New York City. She was visiting New York at the time.

“I don’t know if I can do this,” she told him over voicemail. “I might have to back out.”

She wanted some time to reconsider, she said, and maybe recoup her losses on the Chinese stock. She was considering dropping the $600,000 she had already put down on the cooperative — she had already lost as much on the stock market.

Then, over the course of a week, the Shanghai Composite had a brief and unsteady rise, while the yuan devalued by 3.2%. Chang’s client surveyed the apartment one more time.

She closed the deal.

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Chang’s client is one of the group of wealthy Chinese caught in between a rock and a hard place: Leave their assets in China to potentially weather additional market volatility and yuan devaluations — or put it in real estate that is now more expensive than just a few weeks earlier.

“Lots of my clients have been hit heavily by the equity market,” Chang, who was once a vice president at HSBC’s private bank, told Business Insider through a series of interviews. “But that only makes them more determined to diversify out of China.”

The chaos of the past few weeks is likely to lead to an acceleration in the rate of real-estate purchases by wealthy Chinese buyers in the US and elsewhere.

“[Chinese] Investors who were looking at investing overseas may bring forward their purchases,” James MacDonald, head of Savills Research in China, wrote in an email to Business Insider. “While some of those that may not have been considering the purchase of property in the U.S. may now look at doing so.”

The Chinese see US real estate as a relatively moderate risk, high-return investment, Svenja Gudell, the chief economist at real-estate-research site Zillow, told Business Insider. Especially if buyers anticipate further RMB devaluation and market volatility.

Wealthy Chinese are already the largest group of foreign real-estate buyers in the US, with 16% of the single homes and condominiums purchased by foreign buyers snapped up by Chinese last year, according to the US National Homebuyers Association. They were trailed by Canadians, who bought 14% of homes.

These houses are typically more expensive properties, worth an average $831,800. Domestic buyers average $345,800 on a new single-family home, according to the US Census Bureau.

Brokers in the US can see the shifting sentiment among their Chinese real-estate clients.

Emma Hao, a broker for Douglas Elliman who specializes in Chinese clients, told Business Insider she’s already felt an increase in urgency among her buyers to purchase property in the US before the yuan devalues further.

“Because they are insecure about the economy and the politics, with the RMB devaluation, the stock market got mashed, and the real estate in China is a big bubble — there is nowhere to go.”

Chinese homebuyers also like the US real-estate market as a base for children who have been educated abroad, and as way to diversify holdings.

Andrew Wu, a real-estate agent at Daniel Gale Sotheby’s who caters to Chinese luxury-real-estate buyers in Long Island, told Business Insider: “They’re looking for a safe haven, and the real-estate market has always been looked upon as a safe haven for Chinese buyers.”

The US is also seen as more politically and socially stable, according to Hao. Chinese President Xi Jingping started focusing on an anti-graft campaign back in November.

Many of China’s rich have ties to the political figures, and many will look for somewhere to stay away from government scrutiny, Hao said.

“Because of the crackdown, many people got thrown into prison, and the political people are always connected to the rich people — they do business. They need their help,” she said. “People worry about their own position.”

More and more Chinese buyers will also be eyeing residential property as an investment, according to Gudell, the chief economist at Zillow.

She said she expects to see a different kind of Chinese buyer seeking property in the US: A reduction in buyers looking for homes, but an increase in those looking for investment properties.

“Where they are buying will also be different. The investor will buy in higher-tier neighborhoods, such as New York or Los Angeles,” she said.

Chinese individuals are also being actively encouraged to buy abroad by the government.

Thus far, Chinese individuals have been allowed to convert $50,000 into other currencies annually — though there are ways to skirt the regulation.

That is about to change, with the Chinese government readying the launch of the Qualified Domestic Individual Investor program.

The QDII2 is an overseas-investment scheme that would allow Chinese citizens to invest overseas directly. Those with at least $160,000 in financial assets qualify.

The program is likely to launch this year and will bolster overseas real-estate purchases on the part of the Chinese.

“With QDII2 in mind, within five years we might look back and think of the current levels of Chinese cross-border investment as quaint,” Andrew Taylor, co-CEO of Juwai.com, a website that helps Chinese to buy properties abroad, said to The Wall Street Journal in July.

Source: The Real Deal
http://therealdeal.com/blog/2015/08/30/the-chinese-super-rich-are-about-to-flood-the-us-real-estate-market/

Thursday, August 27, 2015

Great new Mixed Use property coming to Cupertino

The City of Cupertino is looking to apparently approve a mixed use property to replace what is now known as the Vallco Shopping Center (a few blocks from my office). In the area of Wolf Road and Stevens Creek Boulevard, this mixed use property, to be built by Sand Hill Property Co, will feature a 30 acre elevated park that will be built over the buildings, 800 residential units, 2 million square feet of offices and 625,000 square feet of retail space. And looking at the computer renderings, this place will be absolutely awesome if approved. Read more about it from the great article below from the Silicon Valley Business Journal and then look at the computer renderings of what the project is proposed to look like.


Vallco plans revealed: 30-acre sky-park over Cupertino mixed-use center would be world's largest

When Sand Hill Property Co. acquired Cupertino’s failed Vallco Shopping Mall last year, executives weighed two options: Propose a perfectly competent — but rather ordinary — mixed-use town center for the 50-acre site. Or go big.
They chose the latter.

On Wednesday, officials revealed a sweeping $3 billion design from international “starchitect” Rafael Viñoly, working with Olin Landscape Architects, that has, as its defining element, the world’s largest green roof — a 30-acre elevated park that seems to dance off the tops of buildings, connecting them to each other and the ground.

“After we bought Vallco, we said, let’s not to do a run-of-the-mill project,” said Sand Hill principal and founder Peter Pau in an interview earlier this week. “Why would we bother? We’re looking at a unique situation, and we have to do something unique.”

With an orchard, a vineyard, and 3.8 miles of trails meandering above Cupertino, the project — announced at a meeting Wednesday at the Rotary Club of Cupertino — is like nothing ever attempted. Its ambition continues below the landscape layer: A 15-block, mixed-use street grid filled with 625,000 square feet of retail, 2 million square feet of office and 800 residential units.

Called “the Hills at Vallco,” it’s the biggest bet yet for Pau’s Sand Hill, a prodigious development firm that is being backed in the deal by the U.S. subsidiary of Abu Dhabi's sovereign wealth fund. And it is not without risk.

The project is large for Cupertino — a town where much smaller proposals are often met with resistance, and sometimes referendums. The retail roughly equals San Jose’s Santana Row mixed-use juggernaut, while the office is twice the heft of the Adobe Systems headquarters in downtown San Jose.

Then there’s the elevated park, which would be a tremendous engineering feat. It’s at least twice as big as anything attempted before it, Sand Hill officials said. And while they say their team knows how to build it, they acknowledge the cost is huge.
“The roof is not cheap,” said Sand Hill Managing Director Reed Moulds in an interview. “There aren’t many developers out there that would be willing to do this project as proposed. We’re spending a lot of money because we want to be a long-term owner here.”

To secure the community buy-in, the developer is going all-out, promising to contribute more than $40 million to build a new K-5 elementary school, replace portable classrooms and provide an “innovation center” to the Fremont Union High School District, among other goodies. Consider it part of doing business in Cupertino, where concern over development’s impacts on the city’s world-famous schools can sink even a garden-variety apartment building.

“What we affirmed throughout the community engagement process was protecting the schools. And not only protecting them, but making them better with this project,” Moulds said.

The redevelopment is something of a personal mission for Pau. As a young college student in the 1980s, he used to window-shop at the then-thriving mall with his girlfriend (now wife and business partner) Susanna — though he says he couldn’t afford to buy much at the time. As he became established as a prodigious real estate developer, he always felt called to Vallco, which had sunk into a deep funk under a revolving ownership and series of foreclosures.

Finally, in November, Sand Hill succeeded in acquiring all of the mall’s separately owned parcels at a cost of more than $300 million — putting the asset under single ownership for the first time since it opened. Given the fact that the mall was not profitable, and that redevelopment approvals are not guaranteed, it was an audacious move.

"Cupertino's been good to me all these years," Pau said in a November interview. "I consider this to be good for the city and I feel like I'm the right person to get this thing done."

Coming up with the look
Over the next eight months, Sand Hill spearheaded an intense “community engagement” effort, hosting dozens of meetings and soliciting comments from residents through a Web portal. One of the thousands of comments executives heard: That the east side of Cupertino, where Vallco is located, sees all the city’s development, but has very little open space.

At the same time, Sand Hill had initiated an international design competition that attracted some of the world’s top architecture firms — drawn to the site’s high-profile Silicon Valley location across the freeway from Apple’s Norman Foster-designed Apple Campus 2, now under construction.

Sand Hill shared the open-space message with the firms, but executives didn’t quite know what they would get when Viñoly traveled to their offices in Menlo Park last April for a first-round presentation. While other architects came armed with reams of site plans and renderings, Viñoly had a suitcase. In it was a model of his concept, which he assembled piece by piece, topping it off with the roof park.

“It was everything we asked for coming together in one unified form and concept,” Moulds said. His next thought: “We need to figure out if we can deliver this. But I think this is the project of the community’s dreams.”

After more research and a meeting at Viñoly’s New York offices, the decision was made in May to go with the architect, whose other project in the area is the New Stanford Hospital in Palo Alto. They paired Viñoly with Olin Landscape Architects, which is also working on Apple Campus 2.

“These two groups had a fabulous vision for the project,” Moulds said. “The way they responded to the city’s direction and community feedback we shared with them was gripping for us. And they understand what needs to happen to make projects come alive in Silicon Valley.”

But can they build it?
The Vallco redevelopment is just the latest in a string of high-profile project designs to hit Silicon Valley in the past several years; in addition to Apple Inc.’s “spaceship,” Google this year unveiled plans for a glass-domed campus in Mountain View, with floors that can shift according to changing workplace needs. Nvidia is starting construction this month on a massive campus based on the polygon — the basic element of computer graphics. And Samsung is about to open a new 10-story building in north San Jose that challenges a simple understanding of inside, outside and basic form.

The Viñoly proposal, though, could signal a new phase in real estate one-upsmanship, as ambitious, “statement” architecture spreads beyond the domain of tech giants to speculative real estate developers.

“It can’t be within familiar parameters anymore. It has to be really distinctive,” said Louise Mozingo, professor and chair of U.C. Berkeley’s Department of Landscape Architecture and Environmental Planning, summing up the current design environment.

Yet the Viñoly design, she said, appears to be about more than flash, signaling designers and developers are grappling with how to balance density with more bucolic tendencies, as Silicon Valley feels more and more squeezed.

“We’ve thought about layering residential, commercial, office, retail and open space on a horizontal plane,” she said. “What this is trying to do is actually layer them vertically. The advantage is you can think about creating a mixed-use, dense environment that has a great degree of livability.”

The concept also shows a kind of discomfort with density, she noted, in that it seems to ask, “How can we make density not look like density?”

Indeed, in an interview, the developer highlighted the way in which the rolling landscaped roof gradates up from the east side, making it appear as a gentle hillock to the adjacent single-family home neighborhood. At its highest point, near Interstate 280, the buildings reach seven stories high. But in renderings from the roof perspective, the view is pastoral. Oak trees, a vineyard, trails and a playground seem to merge with the Santa Cruz Mountains in the distance.

Two questions: Engineering and the retail marketplace
To be sure, the roof component is incredibly ambitious. “We know Santana Row works, but this is bigger and more complex in terms of land use and diversity of uses,” Mozingo said. “Then there’s this piece that’s swooping over it. It’s hard to know how people will react.”

The technical issues are also substantial, she noted, and the costs are likely to be enormous. While most large green roofs — such as Facebook's building-top park in Menlo Park — are flat, the Vallco plan calls for a park that curves in gentle waves, adding even more complexity to the equation. “If you do a tar and gravel roof, this is really really different,” she said.

But that, executives said, is the whole point: “It’s not easy, but it’s possible (to build it),” Pau said. “We have a whole bunch of people looking at it, and we know it can work.”

Perhaps a larger question involves the viability of retail in the Vallco area at all. For decades, the mall withered from its position between the twin poles of Stanford Shopping Center in Palo Alto and Westfield Valley Fair in San Jose. Observers agree that office and apartments will lease all day long in Cupertino. But it’s natural to wonder about the retail given past history.

Sand Hill, which has done numerous mixed-use projects around the region including several in Cupertino, knows what it’s in for. “Task 1 is making retail work here again,” Moulds said.

The new plan involves a retail loop on the eastern side of the project, with larger retailers facing Stevens Creek. Shops would line the ground floor of several blocks; a market hall, plus three acres of plazas, are also in the mix. The massive amount of office space creates build-in customer base during the day; the apartments would add life on weekends and at night. The concept adheres to the general theme of an “entertainment-focused downtown” that is all the rage these days in mixed-use development. (Sand Hill announced that the extremely popular AMC theater would get a new home in the project, with the cinemas remaining in their current home in the meantime.)

There is some early sign of momentum in this area: Main Street Cupertino, a 17-acre mixed-use concept Sand Hill is developing a short hop away from Vallco, is leasing up well, with new-to-the-area stores and restaurants; the project’s 21,000-square-foot anchor space is leased, though officials have not announced the tenant.

“With this plan and the mix of uses we think we have a successful approach,” Moulds said. “But it’s no longer the mall format. It’s been proven not to work. We need to create a downtown environment.”
But won’t the added engineering and construction costs require higher rents, making the project uncompetitive? “My philosophy,” Pau said, “is if you have the best product in town, we’ll get the best rent in town. We do think, as an owner for 40 or 50 or 60 years, you’ll come out OK.”

Vallco's redevelopment received a boost when the city allocated additional development capacity to the mall area — 2 million square feet of office, 600,000 square feet of retail and 389 housing units. The next step is for Sand Hill to turn in its development application, which the company says it plans to do in the weeks ahead. The plan's larger number of proposed housing units will have to be reconciled with the city's smaller allocation. But it's safe to say that planners probably didn't anticipate anything like the new concept and community benefits package.

“No one’s making us do it like this,” Pau said. “It’s not driven by economics. No tenant is asking us to do this. It’s just something where, people will look at it and say, 'This is great.' It’s something that’s more of a public amenity.”

Source: Silicon Valley Business Journal, Nathan Donato-Weinstein
http://www.bizjournals.com/sanjose/news/2015/08/26/vallco-plans-revealed-30-acre-sky-park-over.html?surround=etf&ana=e_article